Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.004947 0.005450 0.005994 0.006627 0.007346 0.008139 0.009085
2025-09-21 0.004041 0.004717 0.005502 0.006489 0.007708 0.009178 0.011105
2025-09-28 0.003519 0.004263 0.005170 0.006370 0.007940 0.009954 0.012785
2025-10-05 0.003192 0.003983 0.004985 0.006368 0.008264 0.010831 0.014666
2025-10-12 0.002984 0.003820 0.004914 0.006483 0.008730 0.011923 0.016976
2025-10-19 0.002751 0.003597 0.004734 0.006416 0.008914 0.012616 0.018778
2025-10-26 0.002563 0.003413 0.004584 0.006367 0.009106 0.013325 0.020691
2025-11-02 0.002385 0.003228 0.004415 0.006266 0.009197 0.013874 0.022407
2025-11-09 0.002266 0.003115 0.004337 0.006291 0.009478 0.014752 0.024823
2025-11-16 0.002135 0.002977 0.004209 0.006222 0.009595 0.015360 0.026837
2025-11-23 0.002001 0.002822 0.004044 0.006079 0.009569 0.015708 0.028396
2025-11-30 0.001928 0.002756 0.004009 0.006141 0.009896 0.016723 0.031471
2025-12-07 0.001877 0.002723 0.004030 0.006309 0.010449 0.018275 0.036091
2025-12-14 0.001767 0.002592 0.003885 0.006183 0.010457 0.018782 0.038535
2025-12-21 0.001670 0.002475 0.003756 0.006071 0.010475 0.019309 0.041138
2025-12-28 0.001602 0.002401 0.003691 0.006068 0.010703 0.020299 0.045110
2026-01-04 0.001560 0.002366 0.003689 0.006177 0.011160 0.021850 0.050943
2026-01-11 0.001491 0.002283 0.003599 0.006114 0.011259 0.022614 0.054834
2026-01-18 0.001430 0.002210 0.003521 0.006068 0.011388 0.023467 0.059223
2026-01-25 0.001367 0.002128 0.003423 0.005973 0.011401 0.024042 0.062931
2026-02-01 0.001325 0.002082 0.003386 0.005996 0.011674 0.025300 0.069206
2026-02-08 0.001274 0.002016 0.003309 0.005932 0.011743 0.026051 0.074038
2026-02-15 0.001215 0.001936 0.003201 0.005797 0.011637 0.026326 0.077297